Pancreatic Cancer Incidence and Survival Rates By Stage of Pancreatic Cancer

Introduction: To Year 2026 Pancreatic Cancer Stats

It’s important to note that the following pancreatic cancer stats represent a relative average of survival and death rates. Each pancreatic cancer patient is different, and the treatment options that perform best for each patient, as well as their responses and results, will vary depending on many factors.

The earlier pancreatic cancer is diagnosed, the better the prognosis. Unfortunately, pancreatic cancer usually shows few impressive signs and symptoms, if any at all, until the cancer has already advanced to later stages beyond the pancreas, when surgical removal of the cancerous tumor is no longer possible. It becomes progressively more difficult to treat, which leads to greater mortality rates.

Pancreatic cancer is especially aggressive and difficult to treat, making it one of the most formidable cancers in the United States. In 2026, about 67,530 Americans are expected to receive this diagnosis, and tragically, roughly 52,740 will lose their lives to the disease. The narrow margin between new cases and deaths underscores just how deadly pancreatic cancer still is, despite advances in medicine.

Though pancreatic cancer makes up only around 3.3% of all new cancer cases, it ranks as the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths, trailing only lung and colorectal cancers. This imbalance highlights the disease’s low survival rate and the challenge of catching it early—often, it isn’t discovered until it has advanced, when treatment options are limited.

5-Year Average Survival Has Increased To 13% in 2026

The overall 5-year survival rate for pancreatic cancer is just 13%. In other words, only about 1 in 8 people diagnosed with this disease are still alive five years later. This sobering statistic is mostly because pancreatic cancer is typically found after it has already progressed to an advanced stage, making it much harder to treat successfully.

Survival odds change dramatically depending on how far the cancer has spread at the time of diagnosis:

  • Localized (44%): If the cancer is caught while it’s still confined to the pancreas, nearly half of patients will reach the five-year survival mark. This shows just how important early detection is.
  • Regional (17%): Once it spreads to nearby tissues or lymph nodes, survival rates drop sharply.
  • Distant (3%): If the cancer has reached distant organs, long-term survival is unfortunately very rare.

These differences illustrate that the stage at diagnosis is one of the most important factors influencing outcomes.

Age and Risk Patterns

Pancreatic cancer is largely a disease of older adults. The median age at diagnosis is 71, meaning half of the patients are diagnosed before this age and half after. Most cases occur between ages 65 and 74, indicating that risk increases significantly with age.

Pancreatic Cancer Stats Source: Seer.Cancer.Gov

Percent of 2026 Annual Cases at Stages of Pancreatic Cancer When Diagnosed

Localized44%
44%
Regional17%
17%
Distant3%
3%

Incidence and Mortality Rates

Beyond raw case numbers, population-based rates help show how widespread the disease is:

  • The incidence rate is about 13.8 per 100,000 people, meaning roughly 14 out of every 100,000 individuals are diagnosed each year.
  • The death rate is about 11.3 per 100,000 people, which is strikingly close to the incidence rate and further reflects the disease’s high fatality.

Trends Over Time

Pancreatic cancer is not only deadly but also becoming more common. Incidence has been increasing by about 1% per year for several decades. This steady rise suggests that, despite advances in medicine, underlying risk factors and detection challenges continue to drive growth in cases.

Why Early Detection Matters

One of the biggest challenges with pancreatic cancer is that it is rarely caught early. Symptoms are often vague, such as abdominal discomfort, weight loss, or fatigue, or may not appear until the disease has already spread. Because of this, most patients are diagnosed at later stages, when treatment options are more limited.

Routine screening is not recommended for the general population, but individuals with a strong family history or certain genetic mutations may benefit from specialized monitoring programs.

 

 

2026 Comparison of New Estimated
Cases and Deaths VS Other Cancers

Pancreatic Cancer Ranks Tenth in Year 2026 Projected New Cases, at 67,530 New Cases.
Pancreatic Cancer Ranks Third in the Year 2026 Projected Number of Deaths, with 52,740 Deaths.

Common Types of Cancer Estimated New Cases 2026 Estimated Deaths 2026
1. Breast Cancer (Female) 321,910 43,700
2. Prostate Cancer 313,780 35,770
3. Lung and Bronchus Cancer 238,340 127,070
4. Colorectal Cancer 156,020 53,010
5. Melanoma of the Skin 108,270 8,290
6. Bladder Cancer 85,870 17,300
7. Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma 80,620 19,550
8. Kidney and Renal Pelvis Cancer 82,020 14,800
9. Uterine Cancer 69,120 13,860
10. Pancreatic Cancer 67,530 52,740

Percentage of New Cases of Pancreatic Cancer At Specific Age Groups

< 20 Years Old: 0.2% 0.2%
20-34 Years Old: 0.7% 0.7%
35-44 Years Old: 2.0% 2.0%
45-54 Years Old: 7.0% 7.0%
55-64 Years Old: 20.8% 20.8%
65-74 Years Old: 32.3% 32.3%
75-84 Years Old: 25.5% 25.5%
>84 Years Old: 11.5% 11.5%

Pancreatic cancer is most frequently diagnosed among people aged 65-74 years old.

Median Age at Diagnosis

71

Percentage of Pancreatic Cancer Deaths At Specific Age Groups

< 20 Years Old: 0.0% 0.0%
20-34 Years Old: 0.1% 0.1%
35-44 Years Old: 1.0% 1.0%
45-54 Years Old: 5.1% 5.1%
55-64 Years Old: 18.5% 18.5%
65-74 Years Old: 32.2% 32.2%
75-84 Years Old: 28.8% 28.8%
>84 Years Old: 14.4% 14.4%

The percent of pancreatic cancer deaths is highest among people aged 65-74 years old.

Median Age at Death

73